Oldham Athletic - Accrington Stanley Ennusteet ja Vetovihjeet

This is the one game that stood out to me from the odds perspective in the League Two. Oldham is a team that finished in top 10 in the last campaign, but thus far they are not looking like a team who could be able to replicate that result. Hosts of this game after a really solid start to a new campaign, when they managed to collect 7 out of possible 12 points, then started regressing to the mean. Oldham after 3:0 win at home against Swindon, managed to record only 1 point in the next 5 games. Their recent tough to take, 1:4 defeat infront of their own fans against Salford United, was already their 4th one in a row. However if we look closer on this contest, we will see that Oldhan were totaly unlucky with visitors scoring 4 goals on just 1.67 xG and recording 18 shots, which was also 2 less than a home team. On the other hand we have Accrington Stanley team, that after lackluster 25/26 campaign and 16th place, now are...at exactly same position. I considered backing visitors of this contest in their recent game when they faced Cheltenham team at home who have been one of the revelations of this new campaign. Accrington as market read suggested, got the job done, winning the game 2:0, but here even they are now looking better with only one loss over last 6 matches, bookies straight up signaling to us, that we should be back in fading them. The odds here will come out as surprising as not only hosts are in the middle of a crisis, but these two sides also met on the same venue in matchweek 46 of last seasons and we saw Oldham closing as @ ~1.90 favorites on a 3-way ML. Now they regressed, recording loss after loss...and bookies adjusted the odds towards them ~0.25 cents on the opener. We have a one under the radar thing going on here as hosts after that mentioned recent heavy loss, got a full 2 weeks off ahead of this match due to their game in last weekend's gameweek being postponed. Now bookies expect them to arrive here in a full force after regrouping and leave Accrington no doubts who is the better team, even the current standings do not show it.